SHRM Report: Expect Modest Hiring Gains in September 2012

Sep 6, 2012
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Alexandria, Va. Four in 10 manufacturers and one in four service-sector companies plan to hire workers in September 2012 according to a report from the Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM).

The SHRM LINE Report—Leading Indicators of National Employment®--provides a snapshot of month-ahead hiring expectations. (The Bureau of Labor Statistics jobs report analyzes past-month hiring trends.)

The report also shows that manufacturing-sector hiring will rise by a net of 12.4 points and service-sector hiring will inch up by a net of 2.7 points on annual basis (comparing September 2012 with September 2011).

Respondents include HR professionals from 500 service-sector companies and 500 manufacturing companies.

A closer look shows:

  • In the manufacturing sector, 49.2 percent of HR professionals said their company plans to hire workers while 8.4 percent will cut jobs, leaving a positive net of 40.8 percent. The remaining 59.2 percent are expected to hold steady with no hiring or layoffs in September 2012; and
  • In the service sector, 31.8 percent of companies will hire while 7 percent will trim payrolls, leaving a hiring net of 24.8 percent. The remaining 75.2 percent report no staffing changes are expected during September 2012.

“Though the employment-expectations indices for September are at least pointing in the right direction, we still have a way to go before a long-term pattern of strong, monthly hiring increases is reality,” said Jennifer Schramm, GPHR, and manager of workplace trends and forecasting at SHRM.

LINE also features the only national monthly employment indices capturing HR professionals’ month-ahead hiring expectations, and past-month recruiting difficulty. The report also includes a new-hire compensation index and an index of exempt and non-exempt job vacancies.

Recruiting difficulty inched up 0.1 point in the manufacturing sector and slipped 1.8 points in the service sector on an annual basis, comparing August 2012 to August 2011. August is the most recent month for which data is available.

Also, fewer companies reported increases in new-hire compensation. The number of companies increasing new-hire compensation fell by 2.8 points in the service sector and dropped by 0.7 points in the manufacturing sector on an annual basis (comparing August 2012 to August 2011).

Highlights of SHRM LINE year-over-year findings:

Employment Expectations

Manufacturing

Service

In September, the hiring rate will rise in both sectors compared with a year ago.

+12.4 points

+2.7 points

Recruiting Difficulty

In August, recruiting difficulty was mainly unchanged in both sectors compared with a year ago.

+0.1 points

-1.8 points

New-Hire Compensation

In August, the rate of increase for new-hire compensation fell in manufacturing and services compared with a year ago.

-0.7 points

-2.8 points

Source: SHRM Leading Indicators of National Employment

To read the full SHRM LINE Report, visit: http://www.shrm.org/line and click the “Latest LINE Report” button. Follow SHRM Research on Twitter @SHRM_Research.

Media: The SHRM LINE Report is released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on the first Thursday of each month. The SHRM employment expectations index describes the same time period referenced approximately one month later in the Employment SituationReport issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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About the Society for Human Resource Management

The Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) is the world’s largest association devoted to human resource management. Representing more than 250,000 members in over 140 countries, the Society serves the needs of HR professionals and advances the interests of the HR profession. Founded in 1948, SHRM has more than 575 affiliated chapters within the United States and subsidiary offices in China and India. Visit SHRM Online at www.shrm.org and follow us on Twitter at www.twitter.com/SHRMPress.

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