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Health Care Cost Projections 2025

November 7, 2024

Inflation, GLP-1 drugs, and catastrophic medical claims will push employer health care costs significantly higher next year, according to new projections.

Two new reports found that employers’ health care costs will rise between 8% and 9% in 2025 if organizations don’t find ways to reduce spending.

The average cost of employer-sponsored health care coverage in the U.S. is expected to increase by 9% in 2025, surpassing $16,000 per employee, according to an analysis from Aon. That’s significantly higher than the 6.4% increase in health care budgets that employers experienced from 2023 to 2024, with an average cost of $14,823 per employee after cost-saving strategies. Employers bore the brunt of the expense in 2024, paying $11,956 versus the $2,867 average that employees paid, according to Aon’s analysis of its Health Value Initiative database, which captures information for more than 950 U.S. employers representing approximately 6.7 million employees.

Read the full article
Employers Project 8%-9% Rise in Health Care Costs for 2025
SHRM

 

Articles

Small Businesses Make Hard Choices as Insurance Costs Surge
Wall Street Journal | Aug 2024

Charted: Expected healthcare cost increases for 2025
The Advisory Board | Jul 2024

The majority of US employers plan to maintain their current benefits in 2025, despite rising healthcare costs
Mercer | Jun 2024

 

Research

Employers Project 8% Rise in Health Care Costs for 2025
International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans

Medical cost trend: Behind the numbers 2025
PWC

National Health Expenditure Projections 2022-2031
CMS

 

Related Reading

Helping Employers Navigate the Rise in High-Cost Medical Claims
Aon | Jun 2024

Various Health Care Costs Surveys and Articles
Kaiser Family Foundation

 

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